SPY Right On Track, Bitcoin Supports Holding, but Fear Is Still On The Rise
As stated in this weekends video update, I expected us to retest the top of the red channel first, with potential to drop back inside the channel and test the bottom. The middle yellow channel is also a less likely possibility. I don't think we'll get down to the green again until AFTER we hit are WAVE 5 target and also, Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern target of 570. This should be hit sometime on or just before September of 2024. ...Then the crash.
Once again Bitcoin is Re-Testing my Multi-Year TrendLine as support. The last 3 daily candles each have a wick poking down at it. Will it hold? So far it has but with each passing day and retest, the chance grow less and less likely. As long as we remain above it, I am long. A drop below would have me taking risk off and waiting for a better price below somewhere.
VIX has broken to the upside of this descending trend line as the world holds their breath over the Israel/Iran conflict. This is the first time fear has broken above this trend line since September of 2022. Pair this observation with the current dollar strength and you know which way the markets will go, down.