Dollar Got it's 50 day MA touch and should continue it's descent now
#dollar #dxy #vix #fear #blowofftop #stocks #crypto
Traders,
As you know everything is about the dollar rn. What it does determines what the rest of the U.S. market does. And, so far, what the U.S. market does has been helping us determine what Bitcoin will do. Bitcoin, being the lead dog, shows us what the remainder of the alt space will eventually do. This is how we follow the breadcrumbs to our next projected bull move.
As you know if you have been following me for any length of time, I have been calling for a blow-off top in the U.S. stock markets. This will be followed by a more serious recession that very well could become hyper-inflationary in nature, meaning that it will take many, many more dollars to buy a thing. This "thing" would include anything from eggs to shares. The market is smart (but sometimes a little slow) and will eventually price this inflationary pressure (or dollar weakness in).
When the dollar goes up, it's strong. It takes less dollars to buy a thing. So, markets generally go sideways or down.
When the dollar is up and the VIX (fear index) is up, the markets almost always trend down.
When the dollar is down and the VIX is down, the market will fly.
The VIX is down currently. So now, we simply need to determine which way the dollar could continue. From my perspective, the overall trend remains descending. We have now touched the 50-day moving average, which, as you know, I had been hoping for for some time. The price movement is completed and we can now expect further downside and a retest of that larger Head and Shoulders neckline. Should that neckline break? Bye bye, U.S. dollar.
It is at this moment you will know the blow-off top has truly begun. We can expect new highs in our market to come before our recession.
Best to you all in your trades during these times,
Stew
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